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Wednesday, 21 March 2012

Top News


Poverty: Montek Singh Ahluwalia blames it on numbers, again

The Planning Commission on Tuesday once again defended its calculation of the number of poor in the country. The Planning body said that the numbers were based on the consumer expenditure survey.

At the same time, the deputy chairman of the Planning Commission, Montek Singh Ahluwalia, accepted that the benefits of the social sector schemes have not reached the people at the bottom of the pyramid.

“The data suggests that the bottom 15% people have not benefited much and the disparity among the rich and the poor has increased,” said Ahluwalia.

The opposition parties rebuked the Planning Commission in the Parliament for claiming that the poverty in the country had reduced by more than 7%, by bringing down the level of poverty criteria.

The plan panel data states poverty in rural areas declined at a faster pace than in urban areas between 2004-05 and 2009-10. Ahluwalia also emphasised the fact that the new poverty number will not be used to decide the number of beneficiaries under the proposed Food Security Bill.

“The Tendulkar poverty line has been criticised on the grounds that it is too low, and therefore underestimates the scale of the population that needs special assistance. Any poverty line is essentially arbitrary and the planning commission has only accepted the line recommended by the Tendulkar Committee. We have also indicated that the line will be revised from time-to-time based on the recommendations of experts,” added Ahluwalia.

Kingfisher halts overseas operations but keeps licence

Kingfisher, the cash-strapped Indian airline, will suspend all international operations and cut down on local routes, as it seeks funding.

It comes as the country's aviation regulator said it would not cancel the airline's licence, but that it was monitoring the situation.

Kingfisher, owned by billionaire Vijay Mallya, operates flights to Europe, and countries in Asia. The airline cancelled dozens of flights recently, as it faces a cash crunch.

Flight disruptions

Kingfisher has been struggling to maintain its day-to-day operations after banks refused to lend more to the debt-laden carrier. It owes money to airports, tax authorities, lenders and its own staff.

On Tuesday, Kingfisher said it would cut back local flights to 110-125 a day with a fleet of 20 planes. The carriers had 340 flights a day in October. It also said it would end all international flights to eight overseas destination by April 10. It comes after the airline was suspended from an international billing facility which hurt its international bookings.

License threat

Mr Mallya was asked to give regulators and the government a plan for recovery or risk losing Kingfisher's flying licence.

"We have not submitted an ambitious plan. We have submitted a holding plan," Mr Mallya told reporters after his meeting with Director-General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) chief Bharat Bhushan. However, the government did not sound convinced of the airline's financial viability.

"The problem is in the last two to three months, he's given so many plans and he's not adhered to any of them," Aviation Minister Ajit Singh told reporters in New Delhi. Kingfisher shares plunged 5.5% on Tuesday to their lowest level since they began trading.

Small savings set to fetch higher returns

There is finally some good news for individuals in a season of duty hikes and provident fund rate cut. The government is raising interest rate on small savings schemes such as National Savings Certificate (NSC) and post office deposits by 20-50 basis points.

The new rates will, however, be applicable on investments that you make from April 1 and not on those that you park over the next 10 days to meet your tax saving requirements.

As a result, NSC and public provident fund (PPF), which is a voluntary deposit as opposed to employee provident fund, will earn you 8.8-8.9% instead of 8.6% a year. The shorter tenure deposits, such as term deposits in post offices, are expected to fetch you more than the longer tenure products such as PPF or the 10-year NSC. Savings bank accounts in post offices will, however, not see any change as the 4% return is in line with what most banks pay at present.

Excise duty on jewellery not to impact small artisans: CBEC

Amidst gold and jewellery traders protesting the proposed one per cent excise duty on precious metal jewellery, the government on Tuesday said the move would not impact small artisans.

In order to streamline the excise duty, the scope of the levy has been altered to include both branded and unbranded jewellery within its scope, the Central Board of Excise and Customs (CBEC) said in a statement.

"However, several provisions have been incorporated to make the levy simple in its operation and keep small artisans and goldsmiths outside its purview," it said. Those artisans or goldsmiths who only manufacture jewellery for others on job-work need not obtain registration.

"Even if artisans and goldsmiths manufacture and sell jewellery themselves, the benefit of small-scale exemption is available," the CBEC said.

It said that most jewelers get jewellery manufactured on job-work from small artisans and goldsmiths, the responsibility of registering with Central Excise authorities and paying the duty has been assigned to the "principal" manufacturer who gets the goods manufactured.

"It has also been provided that for the purpose of this exemption, the aggregate value of clearances would be computed on the basis of tariff value i.e. 30 per cent of the transaction value," it added.

The All-India Gems and Jewellery Trade Federation (GJF) had claimed that the small jewelers are irked with the levy of excise as they do not understand the legalities of it. In March 2011, Government had levied an excise duty of one per cent on branded precious metal jewellery. But there have been disputes about the interpretation of the term "branded" jewellery.

The protest by gold and jewellery traders have entered the fourth day even as Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee justified the hike in customs duty on gold saying its imports cause strain on balance of payment and impacts rupee's exchange rate.

The CBEC further said "at the current prices of gold of approximately Rs 27,000 per 10 grams, the duty payable works out to a nominal amount of about Rs 84 per 10 grams," it added.

Bangladesh stuns Sri Lanka; enter final

It will be Bangladesh versus Pakistan final in the Asia Cup 2012 as the hosts registered their second big win in a row upstaging Sri Lanka by five wickets in front of a jam packed vociferous crowd and a proud Bangladesh Prime Minisher, Sheikh Haseena at the Sher-e-Bangla stadium, Mirpur on Tuesday. 

Messi sinks Granada in record show

Lionel Messi hit a hat trick to become Barcelona's all-time leading scorer and keep the defending Spanish champions in the title chase with a 5-3 win over Granada on Tuesday.

Barcelona's sixth consecutive league victory reduced leader Real Madrid's advantage to five points, turning up the pressure on their archrivals to avoid a costly slip at Villarreal on Wednesday that would tighten the title hunt further.

A three-time FIFA player of the year, Messi has 17 goals during a seven-game scoring streak and leads La Liga with 34 goals, two ahead of Real Madrid's Cristiano Ronaldo.

The hat trick was Messi's 18th for Barcelona and gave him 154 goals in his last 153 games over three seasons. His six hat tricks in La Liga this season tie the record set by Ronaldo last year.

Julio Cesar saved Messi's hard strike shortly after, but could do nothing but look on as Messi made club history in the 17th.

Granada did what they could to hold back Barcelona's attacking waves, and Messi uncharacteristically misfired a low cross from Cuenca with only the keeper to beat at point-blank range at the start of the second half.

Tuesday, 20 March 2012

Top News

Planning Commission further lowers poverty line to Rs 28/per day


Planning Commission on Monday further reduced poverty line to Rs 28.65 per capita daily consumption in cities and Rs 22.42 in rural areas, scaling down India's poverty ratio to 29.8 per cent in 2009-10, the estimates which are likely to raise the hackles of civil society.


An individual above a monthly consumption of Rs 859.6 in urban and Rs 672.8 in rural areas is not considered poor, as per the controversial formula. Furthermore, the Plan panel has kept the poverty threshold even lower than it submitted to the Supreme Court last year, which created an outcry among the civil society.

The Plan panel had said in its affidavit before the apex court that the "poverty line at June 2011 price level can be placed provisionally at Rs 965 (32 per day) per capita per month in urban areas and Rs 781 (26 per day) in rural areas".

The civil society had questioned this definition stating it was very low. As per estimates released on Monday, the number of poor in India has declined to 34.47 crore in 2009-10 from 40.72 crore in 2004-05 estimated on the basis of controversial Tendulkar Committee methodology.

The methodology recommended by the Committee includes spending on health and education, besides the calorie intake. Further, poverty in rural areas declined at a faster pace than in urban cities between 2004-05 and 2009-10.


Mukul Roy to be sworn-in as new Railways Minister today


Trinamool Congress's Mukul Roy will be sworn-in on Tuesday as cabinet minister to replace his party colleague Dinesh Trivedi who has resigned as railways minister, as per official sources.


Mukul Roy, minister of state for shipping, would take the oaths of office and secrecy on Tuesday morning as cabinet minister.


Trivedi had to resign after Trinamool Congress Chief Mamata Banerjee opposed the hike in passenger fares announced by him in the rail budget presented to Parliament last week.

Banerjee had written to the prime minister that Trivedi should be replaced by Roy. Trivedi sent his resignation to the prime minister on Sunday evening. The prime minister told the Lok Sabha on Monday that Trivedi's resignation will be sent to the president with the recommendation that it should be accepted.


Govt may look at suspending Kingfisher Airline's license


Vijay Mallya will meet the government officials today to explain Kingfisher Airline's position. The government is now preparing ground to suspend KFA's license. Fifteen days notice was issued in February-end has expired now. Vijay Mallya is summoned by the government to explain the position.

Drop in flights is a big concern for the ailing airline. Also, summer schedule is reduced to 16 from original 64 aircrafts. Sources say the government may look at suspending its license.

Also, the last independent director has stepped down from the KFA board. With this, all the five directors have resigned over the last six months. Meanwhile, some relief for KFA has come in. The Bangalore ITAT has lifted the freeze on the airline's accounts, with conditions.


Asia Cup: Sri Lanka-Bangladesh match to determine India`s fate


Millions of Indian cricket fans will be praying for a Sri Lankan victory when the islanders take on hosts Bangladesh here tomorrow in their last league match, the result of which will determine India`s fate in the Asia  Cup cricket tournament.

If Sri Lanka win, India will go into the final but a defeat for the islanders will ensure that Bangladesh take on Pakistan in the title clash on Thursday.

As per the rules of the tournament, if two teams are tied on points, head-to-head record will be considered, so Bangladesh will go into the final as they had beaten India in their league match.

Going by the form of both the teams, Bangladesh would back them to register another upset win in the tournament.

After giving Pakistan a scare in the tournament-opener, Bangladesh sprung a surprise by chasing down India`s challenging 289-run target with five wickets in hand and four balls to spare.

Nicknamed `Tigers`, the Bangladesh cricket team has so far showed in the continental event that they are quite a handful in front of adoring home fans.


Apple sells 3 mn new iPads thin 3 days of launch


The California-based company launched the third version of the iPad on Friday with new features including an improved display, better camera, faster processor and support for AT&T's and Verizon's fourth-generation LTE cellular networks.

Apple announced yesterday that it has sold three million new iPads the same day that the company said it will put its nearly $100 billion cash reserves to use by beginning to pay a quarterly 2.65 dollar dividend and through a 10 billion dollar share buy-back programme.

During the conference call with investors to discuss Apple's plans for its cash stockpile, Apple's Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook said the company had a "record weekend" for its latest iPad but had not given the exact sales figures.

Apple's senior vice president of Worldwide Marketing Philip Schiller disclosed the figures later in a statement.

"The new iPad is a blockbuster with three million sold, the strongest iPad launch yet," Schiller said.

The new iPad is already available in Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Japan, Puerto Rico, Singapore, Switzerland, UK and the US.
"Customers are loving the incredible new features of iPad, including the stunning Retina display, and we cannot wait to get it into the hands of even more customers around the world," when it becomes available in 24 more countries from March 23 and through Apple online stores.

The new iPad, available in black and white, is priced between $499 and $829 dollars depending on the various models and configurations.

Apple has reduced the cost of iPad 2 which is now available at a price of between $399 and $529 dollars.

Cook said Apple has sold 55 million iPads since the trend setting tablet computer was first launched in 2010.The first iPad took 28 days to hit one million sales, Apple said.

Cheers Future Mangers: No effect of recession on B-school placement


The job market, according to B-Schools that have released their placement data, hasn't looked this good in a long time for fresh management graduates. Top global recruiters have upped their hiring, average salaries have jumped by a minimum of 20 per cent and the number of companies visiting campuses for placement interviews has touched the three-digit mark in most institutes.

The 2012 Placements Story is best told by the experience of IIM-C. Campus interviews at the institute were slotted to be held over five days, but each of the 356 students of its graduating class bagged a job in four. And some must have landed more than one, because the number of collective offers for the batch stood at 423.

Leading the field, of course, is IIM-A, where the prestigious Boston Consulting Group has issued offers to 17 graduates, as against 11 last year. The placement process is still in progress at IIM-A, so the final figures aren't in.

Already, the average salary being dangled is reported to be in the stratospheric Rs 22 lakh to Rs 27 lakh range. The amounts on offer are being buoyed because of the interest evinced by big-ticket consulting companies such as McKinsey (which also hired 17 students from the Indian School of Business, Hyderabad), Bain and Co, AT Kearney, Accenture and Oliver Wyman.

At IIM-C, Zurich Financial Services have come to an Asian BSchool for the first time in its history to recruit for its Zurich and New York offices. Bank of America Merrill Lynch, according to CoolAvenues. com, has hired for an international finance opening based out of Hong Kong.
Capital One has made a global offer for its Dallas (Texas) office. And Swiss- Italian steel giant Duferco is hiring for the first time for its Lugano (Switzerland) head office.

The good news isn't limited to the IIMs. "As many as 98 per cent of our students got jobs within the first three days," an ebullient Fr. E. Abraham, director, XLRI-Jamshedpur, says.

Global investment banking and securities firm Goldman Sachs has made 12 offers for asset management and investment research jobs at the institute. XLRI's graduating batch of 235 has snapped up 284 offers, confirming the pattern of more jobs than new graduates.

Even at newbie IIM-R, the graduating batch of 47 has 58 offers to show, and the placement exercise is continuing. At Bharatiya Vidya Bhawan's S. P. Jain Institute of Management and Research, the batch of 176 has got 257 offers - 51 per cent of them going home with an annual domestic salary package of Rs 15 lakh or more.

"Our highest domestic salary this year is Rs 19 lakh, compared with Rs 15.5 lakh last year," Munish Bhargava, head of placements, IIFT, discloses. "The average salary of our students has also gone up to Rs 12.1 lakh from Rs 11.62 lakh last year," he adds.

IIFT students have accepted offers from 80 companies, including 33 first-time recruiters such as Duferco Group, German logistics giant Duegro, consulting biggies KPMG and Technopak, and ecommerce leader Flipkart. At XLRI, the highest domestic salary is Rs 40 lakh and the top international offer stands at Rs 61.8 lakh.

B-Schools attribute this surge in interest in hiring to the active role of the alumni. "Our alumni network around the world played a critical role in the placement process," Bibek Banerjee, director, Institute of Management Technology, Ghaziabad, says.

The sentiment is shared by Amit Dhiman, IIM-Calcutta's placement director, who says in a statement to CoolAvenue.com: "The alumni played a crucial role in this bad market scenario and were there to support us whenever we needed them. This shows the strength of Brand IIM-C."

Saturday, 17 March 2012

Top News


Common tax code on the anvil for service tax, excise duty
On the lines of the proposed Direct Taxes Code (DTC), the government plans to come out with a Common Tax Code (CTC) for service tax and central excise duty to harmonize the two indirect levies.

"I propose to set up a study team to examine the possibility of a common tax code for Service Tax and Central Excise which could be adopted to harmonize the two legislations as much as possible at the right time," finance minister Pranab Mukherjee said in the Budget 2012-13.

The government also proposed raising the rates of service tax and excise duty to 12 per cent from the current 10 per cent level.

Pointing out that Service Tax law is complex and sometimes avoidably different from Central Excise, Mukherjee said "we need to bring the two as close as possible in the light of our eventual goal of transition to GST (Goods and Services Tax)".

While the GST Bill is currently being studied by a parliamentary standing committee, the structure of GST Network (GSTN) has been approved by the Empowered Committee of State Finance Ministers. It will be set up as a National Information Utility and become operational by August 2012.

"The GSTN will implement common PAN-based registration, returns filing and payments processing for all States on a shared platform," Mukherjee said, adding that the use of PAN as a common identifier in both direct and indirect taxes, "will enhance transparency and check tax evasion".

As a measure of harmonization between Central Excise and Service Tax, a number of alignments have been made.  "These include a common simplified registration form and a common return for Central Excise and Service Tax, to be named EST-1. This common return will comprise only one page, which will be a significant reduction from the 15 pages of the two returns at present.
Income tax exemption limit raised to Rs 2 lakh

Pranab Mukherjee raised the exemption limit for income tax by just Rs 20,000 from Rs 1,80000 to Rs 2 lakh.

The new tax slabs are as follows:

Up to Rs 2 lakh: No tax

From Rs 2 lakh to 5 lakh: 10%

From Rs 5 lakh to 10 lakh: 20%

Above Rs 10 lakh: 30%
Promise to curb black money, major push on infrastructure, capital market reforms and huge subsidy cut were among the other proposals listed by Pranab Mukherjee in the Union Budget for 2012-13.

The revision in tax slabs will give some direct tax relief to individuals, even as eating out, buying luxury cars, air travel, availing some professional services and investing in gold jewellery will become costlier.

"This will provide tax relief of Rs 2,000 to every tax payer," the finance minister said, adding: "My proposal on direct taxes will result in a revenue loss of Rs 4,500 crore."

He proposed to raise the service tax rate to 12 percent from the present 10 percent.

Assuring further liberalisation of capital markets, he announced a new equity savings scheme to extend income tax deduction of 50 percent to those who invest up to Rs 50,000 in equities and whose annual income is less than Rs 10 lakh.

US threatens sanctions against India over Iran oil

The Obama administration is threatening to impose sanctions on India over its continued economic ties with Iran amid disagreements between Washington and New Delhi over how much and how soon the latter is reducing oil imports from the (in US eyes) pariah nation. 

India has "failed" to reduce its purchase of Iranian oil and if it doesn't do so, President Barack Obama may be "forced" to impose sanction, unnamed administration officials were cited as telling Bloomberg wire service. A decision in this regard could come as early as June 28, they added, implicitly offering New Delhi a ten- week window to show a decline in Iranian oil imports.
 

Indian officials have contested the US assessment by insisting New Delhi is scaling down Iranian oil imports with more reduction in the pipeline, but that concession has been offset by India's commerce ministry's well-publicized efforts to ramp up trade with Iran in other areas, a move that has not gone unnoticed by the powerful pro-Israeli lobby in US.
 

The anti-Iran lobby in US has been galvanized by a report on Wednesday from the International Energy Agency
 (IEA), showing that India and South Korea "sharply" increased their oil imports from Iran in January. 

India has enough time to show compliance since the US law relating to sanctions vis-a-vis Iran kicks in only if countries don't make a "significant" cuts in their Iranian crude oil purchases during the first half of this year. The law does not specify by what percentage a nation must reduce its imports to qualify for an exemption from sanctions, so countries like South Korea and Japan have been negotiating with Washington the quantum of cuts they can live with. India is also believed to be in discussion with U.S in this matter.
 

The Obama administration itself is in a bind over squeezing too hard and tightening oil supplies across the world. While Washington has offered to wean India and other countries from Iranian oil by arranging supplies from Saudi Arabia and Iraq, that could come at its own expense and rising oil prices. Already, gas prices are close to $ 4 a gallon at US pumps, and it is a well-acknowledged fact that the fortunes of US politicians running for high office is linked to pain (or otherwise) at the pump.

Sports Updates
  • Cricket history for Sachin, but Bangladesh chase down India's 289
  • Azarenka to meet Sharapova in Indian Wells final
  • Nadal, Federer to play in BNP Paribas Open semis

Budget 2012 Garma-garam


Sector Review (Source TOI)

Have you put your money in stocks and/or mutual funds? The Budget often impacts the bottomlines of industries and companies - and can make a difference to your investments. TOI commissioned CRISIL - India's leading ratings, research, risk and policy advisory company - to analyse how your market wealth could have been affected.

AIRLINES
State of the Industry
During April-December 2011, domestic and international passenger traffic grew 15.4% and 7.2% year-on-year, respectively, due to aggressive pricing by Indian carriers. However, the industry's profitability has been under pressure as players have been unable to pass on the entire increase in fuel costs. EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) margins fell 17 percentage points year-on-year and stood at -4.8% during this period.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be neutral. Airline companies have been allowed to raise external commercial borrowings (ECBs) worth $1bn to fund their working capital needs. However, given the highly leveraged balance sheets and pressure on their margins, this move is not expected to have any significant impact. The proposal to reduce the rate of withholding tax on interest payments on ECBs to 5% from 20% for the next three years is expected to lower the cost of borrowings marginally for Indian carriers, which have raised funds through the ECB route.

BANKING & FINANCE
State of the Industry
Credit growth in the industry is expected to be flat at 17% in 2012-13 as interest rates soften, investment demand picks up and domestic debt replaces 
forex loans. Gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) rose to 2.8% of the total assets in December 2011 from 2.3% in March 2011.

By March 2013, GNPAs are expected to increase further to 3.2% of the total assets.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be neutral. In 2012-13, public sector banks (PSBs) are expected to receive majority of the Rs 15,900 crore allocated for recapitalization of government financial institutions. Additionally, a financial holding company is proposed to be set up to raise funds for PSBs, which is a positive, given that they need significant capital to meet Basel III norms. However, the RBI's ability to cut interest rates would be impeded by high fiscal deficit levels. This could hit investments and credit growth in 2012-13. Rise in disposable incomes due to a favourable change in tax slabs and continuation of 1% interest rate subvention on home loans up to Rs 15 lakh (for houses below Rs 25 lakh) would benefit financiers. 

CEMENT
State of the Industry
Demand growth in the first 10 months of 2011-12 was a muted 6% year-on-year due to the slow pace of construction activity. Large capacity additions during the year are expected to further drag down operating rates to 74%. However, average pan-India cement prices rose by approximately 15% year-on-year. Price rise is expected to offset the pressure of rising input costs.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be neutral. The Budget has proposed to increase the ad valorem component of excise duty to 12% from 10% while reducing the specific duty component to Rs 120 per tonne for non-mini cement plants. This is likely to increase the effective excise duty by 1-1.5% for most companies. The proposal to exempt imported non-coking coal from basic customs duty (earlier at 5%) is expected to increase operating profit by 1-1.5% at the industry level. However, at the company level, the impact will vary based on its dependence on imported coal.

INFRASTRUCTURE: ROADS
State of the Industry
Close to Rs 7 lakh crore investment is expected in roads and highways from 2011-12 to 2015-16 - more than double the amount pumped into the projects in the previous five-year period. Projects under National Highway Development Programme (NHDP) Phase I and II have largely been completed while awarding of projects under Phase III, IV and V is progressing at a brisk pace. Overall, approximately 40% of the total length under the NHDP is yet to be awarded.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be positive. National Highway Authority of India has been allowed to issue tax-free bonds totalling Rs 10,000 crore after last year's issue of Rs 10,000 crore was fully subscribed. This is expected to further support NHAI in its implementation of highway projects. At the corporate level, there has been a reduction in the withholding tax on interest payments of external commercial borrowings from 20% to 5%. This is expected to only marginally reduce the cost of borrowings of road developers since these companies' exposure to ECBs is limited.

PORTS & AIRPORTS
State of the Industry
Investments of Rs 1.2 lakh crore are expected from 2011-12 to 2015-16 towards the development of ports and airports, with ports accounting for 80% of the total funds. PPP projects are expected to account for over 75% of the investment. In 2012-13, traffic at airports and ports is seen growing at 10-11% and 6-7%, respectively.
Budget Impact

The overall impact is expected to be neutral. Allocation of funds in the form of tax-free infrastructure bonds for the ports sector remains unchanged at Rs 5,000 crore. While this will facilitate fund availability for port projects, it will not have a significant impact since the same amount was available last year and the ports sector was not able to issue any bonds. Companies in the ports and airport sectors having external commercial borrowings will see a reduction in their cost of borrowings as the rate of withholding tax on interest payments on ECBs is proposed to be reduced to 5% from 20% for the next three years.

FMCG
State of the Industry
Medium-term prospects for the sector remain healthy; growth is expected to be driven by increased offtake across product categories, continued rural penetration and rising per capita consumption. The sector is facing rising commodity costs and high competitive intensity. However, given the products' nature, it is able to pass on inflationary pressures to consumers.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be neutral. Higher slabs for personal income tax will increase disposable income, though the impact is not significant. The excise duty rates have been increased to 12% from 10%. The increase in excise duty will not materially impact the profitablilty of FMCG players, as some of their units are in duty-free zones and the large players are able to pass on the price increases to end-consumers. There is an increase in the basic excise duty on cigarettes longer than 65 millimetres, by adding an ad valorem component of 10% to the existing rates.

A hike in the excise duty on cigarettes will be neutral for ITC's profitability, as it will be able to pass on the increase to consumers.

STEEL
State of the Industry
Hit by the slowdown in automobiles, construction and infrastructure sectors, domestic consumption of steel rose by a mere 2.4% year-on-year during April-November 2011. With the recovery of these sectors, demand picked up in October-December 2011 and is expected to grow at 5-7% in 2011-12 and 6-8% in 2012-13. Weak demand and high input costs (especially, domestic iron ore prices) are expected to keep margins under pressure. But players with access to captive iron ore mines will be less affected.

Budget Impact
The Budget proposal to hike excise duty to 12% from 10% is expected to have a neutral impact on the industry. Hike in the excise duty is expected to be passed on to customers and is expected to result in a price rise of Rs 700 to Rs 1,000 per tonne. Increase in customs duty on flat steel could provide flat steel players the flexibility to further increase prices by Rs 500 to Rs 1,000 per tonne.

AUTOMOBILES
State of the Industry
Cars and UV sales are expected to moderate to 2-4% in 2011-12. Demand was affected by rising fuel prices, high interest rates and a strike at Maruti Suzuki's plant during the year. Two-wheeler sales have grown 11-13% owing to rural demand. MHCV sales have been impacted by lower freight availability, and are estimated to grow by 8-10% in 2011-12. LCV growth is seen at 26-29%.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be marginally negative. Higher excise duty on cars, commercial vehicles and two-wheelers will be passed on to consumers. Excise hikes will also be partially offset through the rise in individual tax slabs, especially in case of small cars and two-wheelers. Demand for sedans and luxury cars, though, will be hit with the rise in excise duty to 27% from 22% and basic customs duty to 75% from 60% on completely built units. Extension of interest subvention on crop loans, additional subvention up to 3% on prompt payment and 21% rise in agricultural credit is seen aiding tractor sales.

POWER
State of the Industry
Capacity addition in the power generation sector is expected to double to 86 gigawatt (GW) between 2011-12 and 2015-16 from 42 GW added between 2006-07 and 2010-11. It will be led by private companies. Limited domestic fuel availability to result in lower plant load factors. The weak financial position of state distribution utilities poses risk to power offtake and timely payments.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be positive. Exemption on 5% customs duty on thermal coal, natural gas and LNG will provide some relief to power generators reeling under high fuel costs. One-year extension of the sunset clause to avail of the 10-year tax holiday for new projects, and an additional 20% depreciation in the first year for power generation projects will encourage investments. The proposal to allow external commercial borrowings to part-finance the rupee debt of existing projects and reduction of withholding tax to 5% from 20% on interest payments on ECBs is expected to reduce borrowings cost. Availability of funds is expected to improve through provision for issuance of Rs 10,000 crore tax-free bonds.

TELECOM
State of the Industry
With a reduction in competitive intensity, mobile industry revenues are expected to grow at 13% in 2012-13 compared with the estimated 9% in 2011-12. Average revenue per unit is expected to improve, after falling at 20% compound annual growth rate in the past five years. The National Telecom Policy, expected in 2012, could provide clarity on issues such as spectrum pricing, M&A norms, spectrum re-farming, and abolishment of roaming charges.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be neutral. Operators are expected to pass on the service tax rate of 12% to subscribers. The excise duty on mobile phones has been retained at 1%. Under the scheme for support to public-private partnership in infrastructure, fixed network for telecommunication and towers have been made eligible for viability gap funding. However, this is not likely to have any significant impact. The government has estimated receipts of Rs 40,000 crore in 2012-13 from spectrum auction.

TEXTILES
State of the Industry
The apparel market grew approximately 10% year-on-year in value terms in 2011, led by higher prices. Sales volumes were flat while those in the export market fell 3%. Operating margins across the value chain fell in 2011-12, due to sluggish demand and limited pricing flexibility. In 2012-13, consumption is expected to rebound, aided by lower cotton prices and a consequent fall in apparel prices.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be positive as excise duty on branded apparels and made-ups has been cut and customs duty on shuttle-less looms removed. Effective excise duty on branded apparels and made-ups has been cut to 3.6% from 4.5%. Concessional excise duty on cotton chains (excluding branded garments and made-ups) has been raised to 6% from 5%, although it remains optional. Allocations under the Technology Upgradation Funds Scheme for 2012-13 are at Rs 2,910 crore compared with the revised estimate of Rs 3,700 crore in 2011-12. Currently, it is not clear whether TUFS would be available for investments after March 31, 2012. However, the ministry has recommended its continuation.

FERTILIZER
State of the Industry
In 2011-12, fertilizer consumption rose by a marginal 1.9%, to 58 million tonne, as complex fertilizer consumption fell due to higher international prices and inadequate subsidy rates. Fertilizer consumption is expected to register a 6.6% compound annual growth rate from 2011-12 to 2016-17 to reach 83.8 million tonne, led by complex fertilizers.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be positive. Fertilizer demand is expected to get a boost from cheaper credit availability to farmers. The government will provide interest subvention to farmers who make timely repayment of loans. Although the government has extended investment-linked benefits, proposed exemption on customs duty on capital equipment and provided viability gap funding for new projects, investment in urea plants is dependent on gas allocation. Cut in basic customs duty on some water-soluble fertilizers may increase their use, resulting in positive impact.

OIL & GAS
State of the Industry
Political unrest in the Middle East pushed up crude prices to $125 a barrel in February 2012. Prices averaged at $113 a barrel between April 2011 and February 2012. Under-recoveries of oil marketing companies more than doubled to Rs 97,300 crore in April-December 2011 from Rs 46,900 crore in the corresponding period of the previous year due to high crude prices, inadequate revision in regulated fuel prices and a weak rupee. This hit companies' profitability.

Budget Impact
The overall impact is expected to be negative. Proposed increase in cess on crude oil production, to Rs 4,500 per tonne from Rs 2,500 per tonne, will increase oil production cost by $5-6 per barrel. Government estimates of oil subsidies for 2011-12 and 2012-13 seem to be conservative. Given mounting under-recoveries, OMCs and upstream public-sector undertakings may have to absorb a higher share of under-recoveries, which will pressurize profits. The government has decided to include oil & gas/ LNG storage facilities and oil & gas pipelines as eligible sectors for viability gap funding, which is marginally positive.

PHARMACEUTICALS
State of the Industry
The Indian pharmaceuticals industry is expected to continue growing at a healthy 16-18% year-on-year to $36-37bn in 2012-13. Exports will be the key growth driver, as players increasingly tap the generics space in regulated markets, and contract manufacturing opportunities for bulk drugs rise rapidly. Domestic formulations market will continue its steady double-digit growth of 14-15%, touching $14bn during the year.

Budget Impact
The impact of the increase in excise duty to 6% from 5% on formulations and to 12% from 10% on bulk drugs is expected to be neutral as these hikes are expected to be passed on to consumers by the companies. The five-year extension of the 200% weighted deduction for in-house R&D expenditure will marginally benefit Indian players as R&D expenditure on an average forms less than 5% of their net sales.

Gains and pains (Source TOI)

The finance minister has taken a pragmatic approach in this year's Union Budget, which, while not taking its eye off the inclusive growth agenda, has taken steps to urgently address the need to fix stretched government finances. Analysts said the changes on the indirect taxes front unveiled on Friday suggested that it is clear that progress was being made on launching the most ambitious tax reform.

Here is a look at what taxpayers, consumers, investors and businesmen are likely to gain and lose from this Budget.

GAIN FOR TAXPAYERS
  • I-T exemption limit raised to Rs 2 lakh, 30% tax bracket now at Rs 10L
  • Interest up to Rs 10,000 on saving bank account to be exempt from tax
  • Deduction of 50% for investments up to Rs 50,000 in equity by new investors with an annual income up to Rs 10 lakh
  • Age limit for senior citizens reduced from 65 to 60 for several tax benefits
  • Deduction of Rs 5,000 for preventive check-up expenses allowed within health insurance benefit
PAIN FOR TAXPAYERS
  • Additional deduction for infra bonds of Rs 20,000 removed
  • Income tax officers can now reopen assessments pertaining to foreign assets for up to 16 years instead of the current six years
GAIN FOR CONSUMERS 
  • Threshold for payment of service tax on apartment maintenance raised from Rs 3,000/month to Rs 5,000
  • No excise on branded silver jewellery
  • Duty-free baggage allowance at airports raised by Rs 10,000 to Rs 35,000
  • Excise duty on branded readymade garments reduced from 4.6% to 3.7%
PAIN FOR CONSUMERS
  • Service tax (cess included) up from 10.3% to 12.36%; excise hiked from 10.3% to 12.36%, from 5.15% to 6.18%, and 1.03% to 2.06%
  • Excise duty on cars of 1500cc and above raised to 27%.
  • Basic customs duty on imported SUVs worth over $40,000 (3,000cc or more for petrol, 2,500cc or more for diesel) raised from 60% to 75%
  • Customs duty on high-purity gold in various forms doubled
GAIN FOR INVESTORS 
  • Securities transaction tax on delivery-based deals reduced to 0.1%
  • More options for investing in tax-free bonds (like NHAI and Hudco)
PAIN FOR INVESTORS 
  • TDS mandatory for sale of immovable property of over Rs 50L in urban areas and Rs 20L in rural areas
  • 1% tax to be collected at source by seller for any sale in cash valued over Rs 2L of jewellery, bullion, etc
  • TDS for interest from debentures if amount exceeds Rs 5,000
  • No tax sops for new life insurance policies with annual premium over 10% of sum assured (currently 20%) excluding loyalty bonus
GAIN FOR BUSINESSMEN 
  • Withholding tax on interest on ECBs reduced from 20% to 5% for power, airlines, roads etc for 3 years
  • A year's extension for exemption under section 80IA for power firms; also for lower tax on overseas dividend
  • Small service provider exemption increased from Rs 10L to Rs 50L
PAIN FOR BUSINESSMEN 
  • Alternate Minimum Tax now on partnerships, sole proprietorships too
  • All foreign assets must be declared
  • Penalty up to 90% on undisclosed income found during search
  • I-T Act amended retrospectively to tax 'offshore M&A deals' involing transfer of assets in India. Example: Hutch-Vodafone transaction

What goes up, down (Source TOI)

Pranab Mukherjee, while presenting the Union Budget 2012-2013 proposed to increase duty on large cars and refined gold and remove any duty on import of silver. Here is a look at what goes up and what goes down.

Almost all the manufactured items used in everyday life will become costlier, while luxury cars, gold, eating out at restaurants or hotel accommodation will become even more expensive after a steep hike in tax rates proposed in Budget 2012-13.

WHAT GOES UP

Gold jewellery, ACs, Refrigerator, Luxury cars, Air travel, Telephone bills, Sport Utility Vehicles, Cigarettes, Handrolled beedis, Platinum jewellery, Diamond jewellery, Emerald, Ruby, Branded retail garments, Eating out at restaurants, Hotel accommodation, Hiring a law firm, Toiletries, Cosmetics, Soft-drinks, Steel, Cement.

WHAT GOES DOWN

LCDs and LEDs, Imported bicycles, Housing society charges, LPG, Mobile phones, School education, Iron ore equipment, Medicines for treating cancer and HIV Processed food, Iodised salt, Match boxes, Soya products, Solar power lamps, Cinema and films , LED bulbs, Natural gas, Uranium for generation of electricity, Desktops/Laptops.

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